The ESPN FPI (Football Power Index) rankings predicted a major upset in one of the Week 11 matchups. This FPI model uses ESPN analytics to forecast game outcomes based on team strength, past performance and opponent analysis.

Coming out of a Statement Saturday full of upsets and prove-it moments for would-be contenders, let’s get a check-up on the Top 25 college football rankings heading into Week 11, courtesy of the ESPN analytics department.

In previous years, one loss might have been enough to knock Penn State out of the College Football Playoff picture. This year that is no longer the case. The College Football Playoff has expanded this season from four teams to 12,